**Analysis: Potential Gains for Early Cardano Investors if ADA Surpasses Ethereum**
The ongoing bearish trend in the broader cryptocurrency market continues to weigh heavily on Cardano’s (ADA) performance. Over the past week, ADA has recorded the steepest decline among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. According to data from CoinMarketCap, ADA has dropped 6.81%, closely followed by Dogecoin, which has seen a 6.14% loss. This downturn has kept Cardano firmly in the 10th position—a spot it has maintained for over a month.
### Cardano’s Position and Market Performance
While Cardano still holds its place among the top 10 crypto assets, it appears poised to challenge Ethereum for dominance at some point. Back in September 2021, ADA briefly ranked as the third-largest cryptocurrency, just behind Ethereum. However, this milestone did not last, as ADA subsequently plummeted from that position and currently finds itself in 10th place.
### Current Value of a 10,000 ADA Holding
Despite the current downturn, many investors see Cardano’s recent price slump as an opportunity to buy ADA at lower prices. For example, at the current price of $0.6104, investors can purchase 10,000 ADA tokens for $6,104. This same purchase would have cost approximately $8,910 when ADA traded around $0.891 a few weeks ago, and about $13,200 when the token was priced at $1.32 in December 2024.
### Potential Value if Cardano Overtakes Ethereum
The value of this investment could rise significantly if ADA surpasses Ethereum and becomes the second-largest cryptocurrency globally. Currently, the market cap difference between Cardano and Ethereum is substantial. Ethereum is valued at approximately $465.43 billion, while Cardano’s market cap stands around $21.89 billion—meaning ETH’s valuation is about 21.26 times larger than ADA’s at present.
In order to overtake Ethereum, Cardano must reach a valuation of roughly $470 billion. This represents a 2,047% increase from its current market cap. Given Cardano’s circulating supply of 35.86 billion tokens, this valuation translates to a unit price of $13.10 per ADA.
At a price of $13.10, a portfolio holding 10,000 ADA would be worth $131,000, representing an impressive return on investment (ROI) of $124,896.
### Points to Consider
This projection aligns with a $13 price target previously shared by a popular stock analyst behind the BasicTradingTv account on TradingView. Our earlier analysis also estimated ADA’s potential valuation if it were to surpass Ethereum by 2030.
However, according to Changelly, Cardano could realistically reach a $13 price target in the second half of 2032—approximately seven years from now. Even if ADA achieves this milestone, it would not necessarily mean the project surpasses Ethereum in global crypto rankings, as Ethereum is also expected to record substantial price gains over the same period.
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**Disclaimer:** This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed are the author’s personal opinions and do not reflect those of TheCryptoBasic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. TheCryptoBasic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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### About the Author
Lele Jima is a cryptocurrency enthusiast and journalist focused on educating people about how this nascent asset class is transforming the world. Beyond cryptocurrency-related topics, Jima has a passion for sports and music.
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